IRELAND: Fears Of Marriage Defeat Grow

Via the Irish Independent:

Fine Gael bosses have become extremely anxious about the referendum in recent days, due to the negative feedback being received by party headquarters. Rural TDs and senators say party supporters are being increasingly challenged over the impact a 'Yes' vote may have on the rights of children. Some TDs have warned that supporters were becoming "disheartened" at the reaction of voters in rural areas. Other deputies have said privately that they were dedicating more time to campaigning in the Carlow/Kilkenny by-election than for a 'Yes' vote for same-sex marriage. Speaking to the Irish Independent, over a dozen Fine Gael TDs confirmed they were encountering difficulties while canvassing for a 'Yes' vote. Senior party sources said Fine Gael would increase the resources dedicated to their campaign to try and avoid a defeat on May 22. A 'No' vote would prove to be an absolute disaster for the Government and Taoiseach Enda Kenny, who has already faced criticism for failing to take part in live debates.

In a poll published on April 26th, 72% said they will vote "yes." That number is down only very slightly from an earlier poll. But there's always the Bradley Effect to consider.