Main | Thursday, November 08, 2012

Breitbart: We Were Totally Wrong

As I noted many times here in the last year, leading the wingnut charge that all the polls were faked, fixed, or outright wrong, was Breitbart.  Lamestream media collusion! Romney landslide! 330 electoral votes!  Today Breitbart editor John Nolte apologized
Mea culpa. We were dead wrong about the polls. Not only did the Real Clear Politics poll of polls end up being almost perfectly precise, but the most accurate pollster of the 2012 election cycle ended up being the Daily Kos' Public Policy Polling (PPP). My guys, Gallup and Rasmussen, didn't even make the top twenty. And that's the bad news; not that we were wrong, but that what seemed inconceivable isn't: the 2008 electorate wasn't an anomaly. The electorate (at least with a Democrat presidential candidate at the top of the ticket) has shifted. That doesn’t mean our ideas are wrong or that the GOP must change its core convictions. But it does mean that tactically we have to wrap our heads around that fact that Democrats have the ability to summon enough voters required to eke out victory. Moreover, Democrats were able to do this during a year where it seemed enthusiasm would all be on our side, not theirs.  Monday we were 100% sure this wasn't reality. We certainly weren't alone in this belief, but we were wrong -- not the polls, not Nate Silver, not Chuck Todd, not anyone in the media.
It will be interesting to see how the right treats people like Nate Silver during the 2014 midterms.

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